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What is the UK National Deficit?

For the fiscal year ending in March 2026:
The “current budget deficit*” is estimated to be £36.1 billion.

* Defined by Office of Budget Responsibility as (current expenditure - current receipts - depreciation).

UK National Deficit Analysis

This page shows the current trends in UK national deficit. Also see charts on UK debt history.

Total

Recent UK Current Budget Deficits

Chart D.01t: Recent UK Deficits

Chart D.02t: Recent UK Deficits as Pct GDP

In 2005 the UK “current budget deficit” was less that £20 billion. But in the 2009 recession the budget deficit skyrocketed to £103 billion in 2010. In the recovery the deficit steadily declined down to zero in 2019, before shooting up over £240 billion in the COVID year of 2021. At the end of March 2025 the “current budget deficit” was £74.60 billion.

In terms of Gross Domestic Product the UK “current budget deficit” was about 0.6 percent GDP in 2007 and 2008, ballooning to 6.9 percent of GDP in 2010. In the 2010s the deficit steadily declined to zero in 2019, before exceeding 11 percent GDP after COVID in 2021. At the end of March 2025 the “current budget deficit” was 2.6 percent of GDP.

UK Deficit Since World War II

Chart D.03t: UK Deficits since 1947


The UK deficit started out in 1947 at 3 percent of GDP and then immediately went into surplus, as the Attlee government worked to reduce the huge debt racked up in World War II. The surplus peaked at 6.3 percent of GDP in 1950 and then declined to a surplus of 0.9 percent GDP in 1961.

But then surpluses started to climb again reaching 7.6 percent GDP in 1970 during the Wilson government before declining sharply. The UK scored a deficit of 0.1 percent GDP in 1975 for the first time in nearly 20 years.

The UK ran a budget deficit till the end of the Thatcher years, with a peak of 2.2 percent of GDP in 1981. In the mid to late 1980s deficits declined, and went into surplus in 1989 at 1.9 percent GDP.

Deficits returned in the Major years and the ERM crisis, reaching 5.7 percent GDP in 1994. But then the deficit came down and went into surplus, maxing out at a surplus of 2.3 percent GDP in 2001.

Moderate deficits were the rule in the mid 2000s Blair years. But the deficit rocketed upwards to 6.9 percent in 2010, declined to zero at the end of the 2010s before exploding to 11 percent after COVID.

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Spending Data Sources

Expenditure data since 1983 comes from HM Treasury’s Public Expenditure Statistical Analysis reports.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from measuringworth.com.

Central government spending data begins in 1692.

Local authority spending data begins in 1868.

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Data Sources for :

GDP: data from measuringworth.com (but now unsupported)
Spending: B.R. Mitchell, British Historical Statistics
Debt: B.R. Mitchell, British Historical Statistics

> spending data sources for other years

On July 23, 2025, HM Treasury published its Public Expenditure Statistical Analyses (PESA) for 2025. ukpublicspending.co.uk uses the PESA tables of public spending at the "sub-function" level as its major data source for UK public spending.

ukpublicspending.co.uk has now updated its spending tables using data from PESA 2025. The update includes outturn spending data for 2023-24, and plans data for 2024-25. ukpublicspending.co.uk uses PESA's Table 6.4 for Central Government expenditure, Table 7.4 for Local Authority expenditure, and Table 8.3 for Public Corporation capital expenditure.

Since HM Treasury does not provide plans estimates for future Local Authority spending, ukpublicspending.co.uk provides "guesstimates" instead. This is done by extending the percentage increase in spending between 2023-24 and 2024-25 for each sub-function for the plans year. It is assumed that local authority spending reductions will not carry through to plans years.

Country and Region spending has been updated up to 2023-24. These are obtained from Chapters 9 and 10 in the PESA document.

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