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UK Public Spending Since 1900


A briefing from ukpublicspending.co.uk


Nobody, in 1900, speculating on the future of government, could have imagined the astonishing growth and scope of public services in the 20th century. Nor would they have imagined that, for many people, this gigantic state provision would seem the very essence of efficiency, compassion, and modernity. The era of the welfare state did not start, of course, in 1948 and the creation of the NHS. It started decades before. You can see how it all happened in the United Kingdom in the charts below.

A Century of Public Spending

Public spending in the United Kingdom has steadily increased from 12 percent of GDP in 1900 to 47 percent today.


Chart 1: Public Spending 1900-2011
Click image for numbers or to customize chart

Public Spending in the 20th century is dominated by the great exertions of the world wars. But peacetime expenditures show clear trends.

Prior to World War I, public spending sat at about 15 percent of GDP. Then, after the war it emerged at about 25 percent of GDP, and remained at about that level, except for a surge at the start of the depression in the 1930s.

After World War II, public spending consumed about 35 percent of GDP, and this level continued through the 1950s. At about 1960 expenditures began a steady rise that peaked in the early 1980s at 45 percent of GDP.

During the 1980s public spending was cut as a percent of GDP from about 45 percent down to 35 percent in 1989. But then, with the ERM sterling crisis and associated recession, it rose back to 40 percent of GDP before declining to 36 percent in 2000.

After 2000 public spending increased rapidly, with a peak of 47 percent of GDP expected in 2011 in the afermath of the financial crisis of 2008.

Defence Spending since 1900

Defence spending in the United Kingdom has fluctuated in the last century, starting at 6.5 percent of GDP during the Boer War, peaking at 46.4 percent in World War II, declining from 10 percent in the early years of the Cold War to under three percent today.


Chart 2: UK Defence Spending 1900-2011
Click image for numbers or to customize chart

Defence began in 1900 at 3.69 percent of GDP but quickly expanded during the Boer War to 6.47 percent. After the war it contracted down to about 3 percent of GDP.

World War I saw an extraordinary mobilisation of nation resources, beginning from a standing start of 3.15 percent of GDP spent on defence in 1914. Defence spending soared to 21.68 percent of GDP by 1919. But spending quickly contracted after the Great war, slipping below three percent of GDP by 1927, and staying below three percent thereafter.

Defence spending began to increase well before World War II. Starting at 3.01 perent of GDP in 1935, it reached 3.71 percent in 1936, 4.82 in 1937, 8.72 in 1938, and 15.19 in 1939. Appeasement or no, Britain started to rearm as the storm gathered. After the start of World war II, Britain mobilised all its national resources for the war, spending over 40 percent of GDP on defence for four years, peaking at 46.37 percent of GDP in 1943.

The Growth of State Education

Public spending on education has expanded from about two percent of GDP in 1900 to six percent in the second decade of the 21st century.


Chart 3: Education Spending 1900-2011
Click image for numbers or to customize chart

State spending on education in Britain started out the 20th century at a little less than two percent of GDP. Spending increased steadily, breaching three percent of GDP in 1946 and reaching 3.37 percent of GDP in 1955.

Starting in 1956 education spending increased rapidly, breaching four percent of GDP in 1960 and peaking at 6.5 percent of GDP in 1975.

During the late 1970s and the 1980s education spending declined as a percent of GDP, reaching a low of 4.25 percent in 1989. In the early 1990s education expanded, reaching 5.07 percent of GDP in 1995. In the late 1990s education spending declined to 4.33 percent of GDP in 1998.

In the 2000s education spending increased rapidly, rising from 4.34 percent of GDP in 1999 to a planned 5.95 percent of GDP in 2010.

The Steady Growth of Health Expenditures

Public spending for health services increased steadily through most of the 20th century, from 0.3 percent of GDP to six percent of GDP by 1980. Followin a mild decline in the 1980s and 1990s, health spending increased rapidly in the 2000s past eight percent of GDP.


Chart 4: Health Spending 1900-2011
Click image for numbers or to customize chart

At the beginning of the 20th century, government spent about 0.5 percent of GDP on health. But spending began to increase in 1909 after passage of the National Insurance Act, reaching 1.14 percent of GDP in 1921.

Health spending increased steadily in the 1920s and 1930s reaching 1.91 percent of GDP at the start of World War II. Spending kept steady during the war and then increased briskly after the war, reaching 3.07 percent just before the National Health Service was set up in 1948.

Costs rose sharply in the early years of the NHS, reaching 3.6 percent of GDP by 1950 and then dropping to 3.0 percent of GDP by 1955. Spending increased steadily after the mid 1950s, running at about 3.5 percent of GDP in the early 1960s and increasing to 4.0 percent of GDP by 1970 and peaking at 4.98 percent of GDP in 1975.

Health spending declined in the late 1970s, down to 4.7 percent of GDP in 1979 and increased thereafter, reaching 5.64 percent of GDP in 1983 before beginning a decline to 5.16 percent in 1988. Then spending jolted upwards, reaching 6.31 percent of GDP by 1993 before a steep decline to 4.91 percent of GDP in 1998.

Spending began increasing sharply after 1999, and is expected to reach a planned expenditures of 8.43 percent of GDP in 2010.


There’s More...

ukpublicspending.co.UK. Where you go to get facts about government.

Prepared by Christopher Chantrill.
email: chrischantrill@gmail.com

Headline

Pre-Budget 2009 Released


On December 9, 2009, HM Treasury released the Pre-Budget Report 2009. This release updates GDP, spending, and borrowing projections, as follows:

HM Treasury Pre-Budget 2009
Amounts in £ billion

Budget
2009
Pre-
 Budget
2009
Nom. GDP 2009 1,4391,435
Nom. GDP 2010 1,4121,409
Spending 2010 608607
Borrowing 2010 175178
Net Debt 2010 792799

The numbers shown in the tables at ukpublicspending.co.uk continue to be the numbers released in PESA 2009.

News

Budget News

Pre-Budget Report 2009
Chancellor Alistair Darling will deliver Pre-Budget report 6 Dec 2009.

Osborne: Brown misled MPs on spending
includes links to both pages of HM Treasury leak on Budget 2009 out years

HM Treasury Leaked Spending Document
as published in the Evening Standard

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Education

“We have met with families in which for weeks together, not an article of sustenance but potatoes had been used; yet for every child the hard-earned sum was provided to send them to school.”
E. G. West, Education and the State