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    Tuesday February 7, 2012 
    compiled by Christopher Chantrill

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    Derivation of UK Public Spending for 1900 - 1950

    by Christopher Chantrill
    August 2, 2008

    RECORDS of public spending in the United Kingdom for the half century from 1900 to 1950 are not readily available.to the researcher. To assemble an approximate data series we have combined tables of current spending from National Income, Expenditure, and Output in the United Kingdom 1855-1965 (NIEO) by C.H. Feinstein with tables of spending published in The Growth of Public Expenditure in the United Kingdom by Alan T. Peacock and Jack Wiseman.

    From National Income, Expenditure, and Output in the United Kingdom 1855-1965 we have abstracted the values of total central government current spending for 1900 to 1950 from Table 12, Current Account of Central Government (including National Insurance Funds), 1900-65. From Table 13, Current Account of Local Authorities, 1900-65 we have abstracted the values of local authority current spending for 1900 thru 1950.

    From The Growth of Public Expenditure in the United Kingdom we have abstracted public spending by function for the period 1900 to 1950. But the spending data in Growth is only available for selected years: 1900, 1905, 1910, 1915, 1917, 1918, 1920-38, and 1950-55. You can view the entire text of Growth here.

    To assemble a continuous data series for each government function we have used the NIEO continuous series of total central government and local authority current spending as a guide for overall spending in the “gap” years. The following procedure is used.

    1. Total government spending for each gap year is derived by imposing the trend of NIEO spending over the gap years.
    2. Non-defence spending (including debt interest) is assumed to trend smoothly at a fixed percentage over the gap years.
    3. Defence spending is calculated by subracting all other spending from total spending.

    Here is how this works for central government spending in the period 1900-05. The period starts with elevated military spending for the Boer War.

    Derivation of Public Spending for United Kingdom
    Gap Years between 1900 and 1905
    (millions of pounds)
    YearAdmini-
    stration
    and Other
    National DebtLaw and
    Order
    Over-
    seas
    Services
    Military
    Defence
    Social
    Services
    Economic
    Services
    Environ-
    mental
    Services
    All
    Services
    NIEO
    Total
    NIEO
    Central
    NIEO
    Local
    190016.519.69.81134.950.636.412280.824216775
    190117.120.510.11.1147.653.737.012.3299.426718780
    190217.721.410.41.1129.057.137.612.7287.026117586
    190318.322.410.71.294.160.638.213.0258.523914990
    190418.923.411.11.374.964.338.813.4246.123313598
    190519.624.411.41.463.168.339.413.8241.7235131104

    Here is how the derivation works for the years after the start of National Insurance and for the Great War years.

    Derivation of Public Spending for United Kingdom
    Gap Years between 1910 and 1920
    (millions of pounds)
    YearAdmini-
    stration
    and Other
    National DebtLaw and
    Order
    Over-
    seas
    Services
    Military
    Defence
    Social
    Services
    Economic
    Services
    Environ-
    mental
    Services
    All
    Services
    NIEO
    Total
    NIEO
    Central
    NIEO
    Local
    191022.120.212.91.174.389.137.814.5272264146118
    191121.819.714.31.178.392.838.414.8281.1273152121
    191221.519.215.71.185.096.738.915.1293.3285161124
    191321.218.717.41.191.3100.839.515.4305.4297168129
    191423.832.815.41.4101.397.037.514.0323.3432299133
    191526.857.713.61.7716.693.435.612.7958.111841051133
    191627.1103.413.12.0888.3109.329.512.71185.315341403131
    191727.4185.212.62.31123127.824.512.71515.519871849138
    191831.2264.815.83.21955.8114.327.414.5242723132160153
    191947.2293.322.92.81188.6217.074.619.21865.616101408202
    192071.5324.833.32.5519.7411.8203.225.31592.11195949246

    For the years of the Second World War there is a gap of eleven years. Of course, the reconstruction is very approximate. It misses the start of the National Health Service, and it must severely underestimate the capital consumption of the war years.

    Note: All social services, including health, education, and social protection, are included here under “Social Services.”

    Derivation of Public Spending for United Kingdom
    Second World War Years from 1938 to 1950
    (millions of pounds)
    YearAdmini-
    stration
    and Other
    National DebtLaw and
    Order
    Over-
    seas
    Services
    Military
    Defence
    Social
    Services
    Economic
    Services
    Environ-
    mental
    Services
    All
    Services
    NIEO
    Total
    NIEO
    Central
    NIEO
    Local
    193860.6212.538.73473.2596.3151.451.3158715191110409
    193966.2228.541.14.2852.6662.1169.154.12077.919911538453
    194072.3245.643.65.92630.2735.2188.957.03978.838733378495
    194179.0264.146.38.33818.5816.3211.160.25303.851794637542
    194286.3284.049.111.74267.0906.4235.863.45903.757605228532
    194394.3305.352.116.54598.71006.4263.466.96403.662415729512
    1944103.0328.255.323.24582.61117.4294.370.56574.563935878515
    1945112.5352.958.732.63724.91240.7328.874.45925.457255194531
    1946122.9379.462.345.82029.61377.7367.378.44463.342443669575
    1947134.2407.966.164.41338.91529.7410.382.74034.337963154642
    1948146.6438.670.190.61209.21698.5458.387.24199.239423291651
    1949160.2471.674.4127.31116.71885.9512.092.04440.141643495669
    195017550779179836209457297453942443539705

    If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to email an inquiry to principal researcher Christopher Chantrill

    Christopher Chantrill blogs at www.roadtothemiddleclass.com.  His Road to the Middle Class is forthcoming.

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